Future Scenarios: Choosing Destiny

Three economic futures compete for realization:

Scenario 1: Enhanced Dependency

Status quo evolution:

• Continued reliance on French transfers
• Public sector employment dominance
• Import economy persistence
• Brain drain acceleration
• Slow relative decline

"Comfortable poverty," critiques futurist Dr. Jean-Gabriel Montauban. "Survival without dignity or dynamism."

Scenario 2: Gradual Transformation

Managed evolution toward autonomy:

• Selective sector development
• Maintained safety nets during transition
• Regional integration advancement
• Innovation ecosystem nurturing
• Sustainable prosperity emergence

"Realistic transformation," advocates planner Willy Bissainte. "Change without chaos, progress with protection."

Scenario 3: Radical Restructuring

Revolutionary economic change:

• Rapid private sector expansion
• Dramatic public spending reduction
• Full regional integration
• Technology-driven leapfrogging
• High risk, high reward

"Sometimes revolution beats evolution," argues entrepreneur Steeve Tchicaya. "Gradual change might be too slow for climate timeline."